Sunday, 27 April 2008

Mumbai 27th April Selections

1st Race
Black Hussar 86.5
Latest News 84
Phi 81.5
Sharapova 81.5
BLACK HUSSAR / LATEST NEWS / PHI
Black Hussar who last a certain race due to inept jky shelar, is having a good chance to score here, with inform jky Kis.Kadam,who is fighting for Appr.JKy Championship, with Nadeem Alam.Ever consistent Phi & Lat.News should place.
2nd Race
Acceptance 85
Solskjaer 81
Arabian guest 81
Mustang Sally 79.5
ACCEPTANCE / SOLSKJAER / ARABIAN GUEST
Former is systematically brought down & can upset if the connections have the will to gamble.If not fancied even now, Solkjaer will grab the oppurtunity.Mustang sally does not impress.
3rd Race
Kings Desire 92.5
Generalissimo 92.5
See The Truth 91.5
KINGS DESIRE / GENERALISSIMO
Speedy Kings Desire should win this ticky race. Trip looks to be too sharp for Generalissimo.
4th Race
Procyon 94
Mysterious Star 92.5
Spiritual Flame 92
Prince Lochinva 91.5
PROCYON / MYSTERIOUS STAR / SPIRITUAL FLAME
Procyon should have no problem in achieving a hat trick. Myst.Star & Spirt.Flame should follow.Pr.Lochinva's last two runs are disappointing &also a blood vessel case, hence best left alone.
5th Race
Romantic Impact 82.5
Highland Flame 81
Fire cracker 79.5
Zen 78.5
ROMANTIC IMPACT / HIGHLAND FLAME / FIRE CRACKER
Romantic Impact should have it easy here, after a good lung opener in far superior set. Highland flame can only hope for a place.
6th Race
Black Sapphire 94.5
Rising Hero 93.5
Fire Within 93
Dancing Dynamite 92.5
BLACK SAPPHIRE / RISING HERO / FIRE WITHIN
Black Sapphire is advantageously placed at the weights.Unlucky loser to Divine, in previous run with an electrifying run. Good bet for the day.Ascriptive though ran an eye catching 4th last time out, is running against tough company. Why Giannatassio is being fancied is big puzzle to me.
7th race
Elementto Angel 87.5
Queens Court 88.5
Classic Star 87.5
Dance Maestro 87
ELEMENTTO ANGEL / CLASSIC STAR / DANCE MAESTRO
Minefield of a race where winner picking is difficult. Logically Queens Court would have been the ideal choice, but its last two runs are suspect.Against this back ground, the connections may not go for it, for obvious reasons. My choice is Elementto Angel to win from Classic Star.
8th Race
Socaroro 88.5
Full Throttle 85.5
Lone Trojan 85
Ptolemy 83.5
SOCARORO / FULL THROTTLE / LONE TROJAN
It will be a herculean task for Ptolemy to win here.Its previous win was against very mediocre field.Watch out for Sparta's run today, before wagering a bet on Ptolemy. Socaroro looks outstanding with inform jky Appu in the saddle.
DAYS BEST
BLACK SAPPHIRE ( 6-9 )
OTHER BETTING PROPOSITIONS
BLACK HUSSAR ( 1-2 )
PROCYON (4-2 )
ROMANTIC IMPACT ( 5-4 )
SOCARORO ( 8-3 )

madhu


Friday, 25 April 2008

26th April Mumbai Selections

1. THE P.B. AVASIA PLATE (CL II / 60 to 86.)
1400 Metres.
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1. WILD TEMPER 92
2. IVANKA
97.5
3. RUBY ROCKET 95.5
4. COSMOPOLITAN
98
5. CALL TO ARMS 96
6. NATIVE STRATEGY 93
7. TIGRESSE NOIRE 96.5


IVANKA /COSMOPOLITAN / TIGRESSE NOIRE
Though Cosmopolitan is half a length better in rating, it's not running to its full potential.On the contrary Ivanka is on the upgrade & is in great form & hence my first choice.
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2. THE IRISH BOSS PLATE - DIVISION II (CL III / 40 to 66.)
1000 Metres.
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1. BLAZING SPEED 90
2. FIRE GOD 92
3. ALGO MAS 95
4. BEAU MONDE 92
5. HONEYDAY 91
6. HIDDEN DRAGON 94.5
7. KADIMA 90
8. JEWEL STAR 95

JEWEL STAR / ALGO MAS / HIDDEN DRAGON
It's touch & go between the first two. Hid.Dragon also will give run for your money.
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3. THE HUMOUR PLATE - DIVISION II (Terms, Maiden Indian Horses, 3 years old only.)
1200 Metres.
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1. DUTCH ART ----
2. EL BUNDUQ 84.5
3. SENTINEL 87
4. SIR TAJ 88.5
5. SOLOR ---
6. SPARKLER ---
7. STAR IMPACT ---
8. FOREST NATIVE ---

9. SNOW BLIND 87
SNOW BLIND / SENTINEL /SIR TAJ
Though Sir Taj rating is better than other two,the choice of jky puts me off. The first two horses are connected . Watch out, which way big money flows before wagering your bet.
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4. THE IRISH BOSS PLATE - DIVISION I (CL III /40 to 66.)
1000 Metres.
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1. BORN TO LEAD 95
2. THE BRAVE HEART 91
3. RED DAWN 97.5
4. AMBERLEY 90.5
5. FESTIVE LIGHT 90
6. PREMIER PERCEPTION 89.5
7. TEARAWAY 93.5
8. CATALUNYA 94.5
9. ARABIAN PRIDE 92.5

BORN TO LEAD / CATALUNYA /RED DAWN
Red Dawn should have been a good bet bet as per the rating.But after running a good 2nd to Star O War in R.No.192, this horse has gone into hiding & is not running to its true potential.Choice of jky also does not reveal their clear intentions.But dont write it off. Keep an eye, watch the odds in the ring & decide. Inthe absence of red dawn, B.T.Lead & Catalunya will fight a fierce battle.
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5. THE TRAINERS TROPHY (CL IV /20 to 46.)
1000 Metres.
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1. ABSOLUT 83
2. RAVE ON 88
3. GOLD BISCUIT 86.5
4. CABINDA 85.5
5. PACIFIC ZONE 90
6. MAVERICK 89
7. TRUE ELEGANCE 91.5
8. NASEEBDAR 88
9. NEEDFORSPEED 94.5
10. XIAMEN 93.5
11. GYPSY QUEEN 89
12. PARIS HILTON 85.5
13. KING OF THE RING 89
14. FASHION STREET 75

NEEDFORSPEED / XIAMEN / TRUE ELEGANCE
Needforspeed looks to be a good bet as Xiamen is not performing upto its rating & is faltering at the winning post.How ever place is certainity.Tr.Elegance also a good place bet.
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6. THE HUMOUR PLATE - DIVISION I (Terms, Maiden Indian Horses, 3 years old only.)
1200 Metres.
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1. ANTONIOS WORKING WELL/GOOD BLOOD LINE
2. FIDEL DEFENSOR 76.5
3. FORCE OF LAW 84.5
4. MAGICAL MANTRA ----
5. REAL DREAM 81.5
6. SNOWYNSKY ----
7. YANKEE LANE 85
8. DYNAMITE ----
9. EKHABINSKYA WORKING WELL / GOOD BLOOD LINE
10. GOLDEN GRACE ----

EKHABINSKYA / ANTONIOS / YANKEE LANE / FORCE OF LAW
Spot the winner among the first two.
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7. THE AL MARZOUK PLATE (CL V / 0 to 26.)
1600 Metres.
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1. HISHAM 79
2. BREZHNEV 79.5
3. QUAOAR 80
4. OPERA ROYALE 78.5
5. SIMPLY PERFECT 83
6. MUBARRAS 83.5
7. BINEE 84.5
8. VARUN 81
9. MERCEDES 81.5
10. UP NORTH 77
11. HOUSE PREFECT 81.5

BINEE / MUBARRAS / SIMPLY PERFECT
Binee is knocing at the door & it's last run is suggestive. Mubarras is a live threat as it won with some thing in the reserve.Simply perfect Jky switch & its last run late dash will make it as fav. to win this race
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Tuesday, 22 April 2008

Rating Based Selections

Dear all,

My selections are based after taking into various factors like, winning time,lenghts lost, change in weights, distance variation, draw, track variant,Course variant(race center), current form of the horse.From next racing day, I'll justify my selections by giving rating points. Following table will help you to understand how superior is the horse in a given field. One point is equal to one length.Higher the points, better is the winning chance.

Class Rating


V - 75 to 80

IV - 81 to 85

III - 86 to 90

II - 91 to 95

I - 96 to 100

Graded/Classics - 101 & above

madhu

Sunday, 20 April 2008

Mumbai 2oth April Selections

1.Rage of Angels is in great form & should easily account for Earl of warwick
2.Pebble Beach looks out standing after few list less runs in higher class. Brezhnev should run ahead of others.
3.Pepe Junior should finally earn its over due corn bill ( ).Star O war with its light weight should follow.
4.Pomme De Terre is the only choice & the other two un known quantities which can pose danger are Tyumen & equality
5.Synergetic with in form Rajendra from Pesi's yard should have upper hand over Crescendo & Monopoly.
6.Spirituall looks unbeatable.Gatrvat should follow.
7.Rose Bowl is cut above this field.On my way & Forest Music may place.
Best of luck