Sunday, 24 August 2008

24th Aug 08 Pune Races

Hi all,
There is no spice in todays card.Most of the races will be one sided or at the most two way contest.As such one has to be satisfied with cramped odds in most races.Following are my choices for today.

1st
Secret Glory 99
Blue Jay 68
Hi Dolly 65
Zen 62

Secret Glory / Blue Jay / Hi Dolly

Why jky G.Oza on Sec.Glory is a big riddle.If for odds,they have not succeded.The company what it has run with & the rating it posted is so high, even with Oza, Sec.Glory looks a cynch.But is it worth at these cramped odds, you decide & have a bet.

2nd
Czar Alexander 111
Nanjing 105
Hugo Boss 99

Czar Alexander / Nanjing

There is no contest.It should be Czar Alexander all the way.Nanjing should take the 2nd spot.

3rd
Star Of The Season 84
Flashiing Flame 84
Elusive Trust 82
Star Crusader 79

Star Of The Season / Flashing Flame

Star Of The Season has returned to form after a long gap & with stronger JKY switch, Satr Of The Season,should win in a close finish from Flashing Flame & Elusive Trust.

4th
Yana 112
Aquilo 104
Nitrous 104

Yana / Aquilo / Nitrous

Yana will swamp this field.There will a fight for the 2nd spot between Nitrous & Aquilo.

5th
Ikaria 88
Raghuvansh 85
Absolute Reality 85

Ikaria / Raghuvansh / Absolute Reality

Ikaria has edge over Raghuvansh & Absolute Reality at these weights.

6th
Schnell 93
Legendary 95
Star Always 86
The Rising 86

Schnell / Legendary / Star Always

Legendary has got better rating than Schnell,but has no current form & also jky is again a puzzle.Hence my first preferance is Schnell,but if legendary gets support in the ring, do have a hedge bet with it.

7th
Global Spirit 78
Cyclades 74
Sir Taj 78

Global Spirit / Cyclades

Global Spirit,should improve on its previous run & has decisive advantage over Cyclades.Distance is too sharp for Sir Taj, but by default may place.

Days Best : Yana

Can Win : Secret Glory, Czar alexander, Ikaria,Global Spirit

Place : Flashing flame, Absolute reality,Legendary

Good day & Good luck




3 comments:

RB said...

well done sir.
superb selections.
regards,
r.b.

RB said...

well done sir.
superb selections.
regards,
r.b.

Surendra prasad Sao said...

Dear Madhu,

The strike rate of your selections are highly satisfactory. I sincerely wish for it's more & more suceess. I suggest one small improvement.

Please mention horse no.in bracket to the left of horse name :

(No.) Name Rating

I have one question :

At present You are the only person whose selection is strictly in the order of ratings (99.9%) and it is mostly coming true . As We all know results are not always on the previous run merrit of the horse but "strategy" of Trainer, Jockey&other Intention also play important role.

Do you adjust for these factors in your rating system as per your judgement. For Example " Mr. Lagads Wining Behavior, or Winning / Loosing attitude of less fancied horses @ higher/lower Odds." I understand this is not simple but not impossible for a knowladged person.

With Regards.

Surendra Prasad Sao